Road to Oscar, finally we’re in

This Sunday my country, Italy, will get to vote. A comic actor might be our next prime minister and no, this is not a Hollywood movie, that’s the sad reality!  No, this is not ant italian comedy. This is not a grotesque Fellini movie, Italy might have a comic actor as his prime minister. Well, the sad choice is between a comic actor, or the same old right-wing and left-wing mummies that led Italy to near bankrupt and to total devastation of italian economy. A sad and hard choice.

Soryr for this political introduction, but that’s why I’m late with my final Oscar post. Let’s go back to the Academy Awards, that to me are more interesting than an election dominated by rage, frustration and depression.

This is the last post on the road toward uncle Oscar. Last week the Writer’s Guild awarded “Zero Dark Thirty” as Best Original Screenplay and “Argo” as “Best Adapted Screenplay”. Let’s see the final update, I will personally “call” the races indicating my personal prediction of winner in the top categories

BEST PICTURE

The Road to Oscar

Critics Choice: Argo

Golden Globe-Drama: Argo

Golden Globe-Musical/Comedy: Les Misérables

Producer’s Guild: Argo

BAFTA: Argo

Bookies Average

Argo 1.12 (1.19)

Lincoln 6.44 (4.89)

Silver Linings Playbook 39.56 (44.43)

Life Of Pi 56.00 (49.01)

Les Misérables 62.19 (49.00)

Zero Dark Thirty 84.87 (85.80)

Djang Unchained 88.12 (102.33)

Amour 101.53 (98.55)

Beasts Of The Southern Wild 155.87 (165.87)

Who will win: Argo

Who deserves to win: Argo

BEST DIRECTOR

The Road to Oscar

Critics Choice: Ben Affleck “Argo”

Golden Globe: Ben Affleck “Argo”

Director’s Guild: Ben Affleck “Argo”

BAFTA: Ben Affleck “Argo”

Bookies Average

Steven Spielberg (2/7)-”Lincoln” 1.29 (1.21)

Ang Lee (1/3)-”Life of Pi” 4.22 (5.69)

Michael Haneke (0/1)-”Amour” 18.40 (14.57)

David O. Russell (0/2)-”Silver Linings Playbook” 19.33 (18.69)

Benh Zeitlin (0/1)-”Beasts Of The Southern Wild” 108.60 (53.62)

Who will win: Steven Spielberg

Who deserves to win: Ang Lee

BEST ACTOR

The Road to Oscar

Critics Choice: Daniel Day Lewis “Lincoln”

Golden Globe-Drama: Daniel Day Lewis ”Lincoln”

Golden Globe-Musical/Comedy: Hugh Jackman “Les Misérables”

Screen Actor’s Guild: Daniel Day Lewis ”Lincoln”

BAFTA: Daniel Day Lewis ”Lincoln”

Bookies average

Daniel Day Lewis (2/5)-”Lincoln” 1.02 (1.03)

Hugh Jackman (0/1)-”Les Misérables” 21.87 (15.48)

Joaquin Phoenix (0/3)-”The Master” 56.25 (47.14)

Bradley Cooper (0/1)-”Silver Linings Playbook” 68.18 (60.21)

Denzel Washington (2/6)-”Flight” 69.25 (60.07)

Who will win: Daniel Day Lewis

Who deserves to win: Daniel Day Lewis

BEST ACTRESS

Road to Oscar

Critics Choice: Jessica Chastain “Zero Dark Thirty”

Golden Globe-Drama: Jessica Chastain “Zero Dark Thirty”

Golden Globe-Musical/Comedy: Jennifer Lawrence “Silver Linings Playbook”

Screen Actors Guild: Jennifer Lawrence “Silver Linings Playbook”

BAFTA: Emmanuelle Riva “Amour”

Bookies Average

Jennifer Lawrence (0/2)-”Silver Linings Playbook” 1.56 (1.57)

Emmanuelle Riva (0/1)-”Amour” 3.11 (5.20)

Jessica Chastain (0/2)-”Zero Dark Thirty” 7.12 (3.76)

Naomi Watts (0/2)-”The Impossible” 42.94 (33.60)

Quvenzhanè Wallis (0/1)-”Beasts Of The Southern Wild” 74.00 (53.40)

Who will win: Emmanuelle Riva

Who deserves to win: Jessica Chastain

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Road to Oscar

Critics Choice: Philip Seymour Hoffman “The Master”

Golden Globe: Christoph Waltz “Django Unchained”

Screen Actor’s Guild: Tommy Lee Jones “Lincoln”

BAFTA: Christoph Waltz “Django Unchained”

Bookies Average

Tommy Lee Jones (1/4)-”Lincoln” 2.21 (1.69)

Christoph Waltz (1/2)-”Django Unchained” 2.42 (2.66)

Robert De Niro (2/7)-”Silver Linings Playbook” 6.09 (10.60)

Philip Seymour Hoffman (1/4)-”The Master” 10.52 (6.71)

Alan Arkin (1/4)-”Argo” 46.55 (37.36)

Who will win: Robert De Niro

Who deserves to win: Alan Arkin

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Road to Oscar

Critics Choice: Anne Hathaway “Les Misèrables”

Golden Globe: Anne Hathaway “Les Misérables”

Screen Actor’s Guild: Anne Hathway “Les Misérables”

BAFTA: Anne Hathaway “Les Misérables”

Bookies average

Anne Hathaway (0/2) “Les Misérables” 1.02 (1.02)

Sally Field (2/3) “Lincoln” 26.69 (26.53)

Helen Hunt (1/2) “The Sessions” 35.87 (35.23)

Amy Adams (0/4) “The Master” 53.31 (33.77)

Jacki Weaver (0/2) “Silver Linings Playbook” 96.06 (86.08)

Who will win: Anne Hathaway

Who deserves to win: Anne Hathaway

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

Road to Oscar

Critics Choice: Amour

Golden Globe: Amour

BAFTA: Amour

Bookies Average

Amour (Austria)-1.03 (1.04)

A Royal Affair (Denmark)-19.70 (14.94)

Kon Tiki (Norway)-21.07 (21.12)

No (Chile)-39.80 (37.62)

War Witch (Canada)- 54.00 (40.37)

Who will win: Amour

Who deserves to win: Amour

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

Road to Oscar

Critics Choice: Brave

Golden Globe: Brave

Producers Guild Award: Wreck-it-Ralph

BAFTA: Brave

Bookies Average

Brave 2.18 (1.26)

Wreck-It-Ralph-2.20 (2.65)

Frankenweenie- 6.17 (4.07)

Paranorman- 35.50 (29.12)

Pirates! Band Of Misfits- 50.87 (47.12)

Who will win: Wreck-It-Ralph

Who deserves to win: Wreck-It-Ralph

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Road to Oscar

Critics Choice: Django Unchained

Golden Globe: Django Unchained

BAFTA: Django Unchained

Writers Guild Award: Zero Dark Thirty

Bookies Average

Django Unchained 1.92 (1.96)

Zero Dark Thirty 3.13 (2.64)

Amour 3.80 (3.68)

Moonrise Kingdom 24.25 (18.93)

Flight 67.75 (30.29)

Who will win: Django Unchained

Who deserves to win: Zero Dark Thirty

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

Road to Oscar

Critics Choice: Lincoln

BAFTA: Lincoln

Writers Guild Award: Argo

Bookies Average

Argo 1.66 (2.76)

Lincoln 2.62 (1.48)

Silver Linings Playbook 8.89 (6.49)

Life Of Pi 31.50 (22.19)

Beasts Of The Southern Wild 60.12 (33.12)

Who will win: Argo

Who deserves to win: Argo

This is the end of our Road to Oscar. Unfortunately my final post is somewhat laconic, but I’m now working at the electoral office and so this week is very busy for me

I’ve enjoyed covering the award season, but I hope covering it better next year. I wish a good Oscar night to all and thanks for reading and enoyng my posts.

A special thanks to our host, who accepted my proposal and gently hosted me for this weeks

And the winner is…